Viewing archive of Friday, 6 March 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Mar 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 66 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Mar, 08 Mar, 09 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 394 km/s at 06/1315Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
06/1208Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
06/0912Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 211 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (07 Mar,
08 Mar, 09 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Mar 070 Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 06 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 003/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 005/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 008/008-008/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, UtsjokiKirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk, Norilsk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (590.4 km/sec.)
The density of the solar wind is moderate (27.39 p/cm3)
The density of the solar wind is moderate (27.39 p/cm3)
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