Viewing archive of Saturday, 22 August 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Aug 22 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 235 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Aug 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (23 Aug, 24 Aug, 25 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 364 km/s at 22/0131Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
22/0926Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
22/1653Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 151 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (23 Aug, 24 Aug)
and quiet levels on day three (25 Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 23 Aug to 25 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Aug 070 Predicted 23 Aug-25 Aug 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 22 Aug 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Aug 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Aug 005/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 007/006-006/006-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Aug to 25 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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