Viewing archive of Saturday, 22 August 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Aug 22 1256 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 22 Aug 2020 until 24 Aug 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
22 Aug 2020071007
23 Aug 2020071008
24 Aug 2020072003

Bulletin

Solar flaring activity was at very low levels. No significant flares have been recorded. A B1.6 flare recorded at Aug 21 (01:58UT, S31E52) was followed by a coronal dimming, visible in SDO/AIA data. Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to stay at background levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

The speed of the solar wind varied between 310 and 365 km/s (DSCOVR). The polarity of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominatly towards the Sun (phi angle in the negative sector) until Aug 21 22:00UT, while varying since then. Bz fluctuated between -6 and +7 nT. The magnitude of the magnetic field varied between 1 and 8 nT. The extension of the Northern coronal hole is crossing central meridian. Over the next 24 hours, the solar wind parameters are expected to be slightly influenced from the remaining HSS of the coronal hole crossing central meridian Aug 19.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled. The values registered for the past 24 hours were 0-3 for K Dourbes and 1-2 for NOAA Kp. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 24 stations.

Solar indices for 21 Aug 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number004 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G4 - Severe geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 8
Threshold reached: 20:54 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi
Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The density of the solar wind is moderate (23.49 p/cm3)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (12.3nT), the direction is North (5.65nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-147nT)

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