Viewing archive of Sunday, 30 August 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Aug 30 1245 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 30 Aug 2020 until 01 Sep 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
30 Aug 2020070021
31 Aug 2020070031
01 Sep 2020070040

Bulletin

Solar X-ray flux has been below background (B) level throughout the period. There are no spotted regions on disc and X-ray flux is expected to remain at or below background (B) values.

There were no Earth directed coronal mass ejections observed in coronagraph data.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to stay at background levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux became enhanced in the past 24 hours and is expected to be at high levels over the next days following the elevated Solar wind conditions.

Solar wind speed first hovered around the 500 km/s and then decayed to under 450 km/s and is currently varying in the 450-500 km/s range. The total magnetic field was in the 3-6.5nT range with some periods of persistent orientation in Southward direction where Bz reached close to -6nT. The magnetic field phi angle was in the away sector (+) . The moderately enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to last over the next 24 hours with towards September 1 an expected onset of the high speed stream from the recurrent coronal hole that crossed central meridian on September 28. The coronal hole seems to have shrunk since last rotation and it's associated high speed stream is expected to be less pronounced as last rotation, but Solar wind speed may still reach over 600 km/s.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active (K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 1-4). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to active in the next 24 hours with from September 1 a possibility of minor geomagnetic storming.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 29 Aug 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt023
AK Wingst018
Estimated Ap020
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio, Sodankylä
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-7.56nT).
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.05

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