Viewing archive of Friday, 11 September 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Sep 11 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Sep 2020 until 13 Sep 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Sep 2020069001
12 Sep 2020070002
13 Sep 2020070002

Bulletin

The Sun was spotless. Solar activity was at very low levels and is expected to remain so.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels and expected to remain so. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels, with a maximum of 3580 pfu at 19:50UT. The electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels again.

No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

Solar wind speed was mostly between 280 and 310 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -4 and +5 nT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was predominantly towards the Sun (negative sector).

Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels and is expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 26 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Sep 2020

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 33 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Moscow, Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.13nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.41nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-145nT)

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19:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 18:38 UTC

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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC

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Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC

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