Viewing archive of Saturday, 12 September 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Sep 12 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Sep 2020 until 14 Sep 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Sep 2020069003
13 Sep 2020069003
14 Sep 2020070003

Bulletin

The Sun was spotless. Solar activity was at very low levels and is expected to remain so.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels, with a maximum of 4801 pfu at 14:40UT. Despite showing signs of weakening, the electron flux has a chance to reach moderate levels again.

No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The earth environment entered a sector with more enhanced solar wind, after the direction of the interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) switched from predominantly towards the Sun (negative sector) to away from the Sun (positive sector) at 14:50UT (DSCOVR). Solar wind speed gradually increased from 280 km/s to 340 km/s around 07:30UT, ending the period with values around 330 km/s. Bz was mostly negative, varying between -5 nT (around 06:00UT) and +6 nT (around 10:30UT).

Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels, with the estimated Kp index recording an isolated unsettled episode during the 06-09UT interval. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet, with an isolated unsettled interval possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 25 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Sep 2020

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 35 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.59

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