Viewing archive of Saturday, 12 September 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Sep 12 2215 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 256 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Sep 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (13 Sep, 14 Sep, 15 Sep).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 350 km/s at 12/1857Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 12/1012Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
12/0604Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 788 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Sep, 14 Sep, 15
Sep).
III. Event Probabilities 13 Sep to 15 Sep
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Sep 069 Predicted 13 Sep-15 Sep 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 12 Sep 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Sep 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Sep 007/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Sep to 15 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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