Issued: 2020 Nov 03 1241 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
03 Nov 2020 | 083 | 007 |
04 Nov 2020 | 084 | 007 |
05 Nov 2020 | 085 | 007 |
The solar activity was mostly quiet over the past 24 hours. Tow regions have turned over the East limb (NOAA-AR 2780, and NOAA-AR 27XX, which is not numbered yet). The second region has produced a C1.1-class flare. The solar activity is expected to remain mostly at low levels with a probability of small C-class flare. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery in the last 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to stay at background levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electrons flux was below the 10^3 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain at low level or the next 24 hours as the solar wind parameters are close to nominal levels.
The Earth is currently under the influence of the slow solar wind streams. The solar wind parameters (DSCOVR) showed nominal values with the solar wind speed varying between 350 km/s and 400 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field below 6.5 nT, and the Bz magnetic field components fluctuating between -3.3 nT and 6.4 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain mostly nominal for the next days.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet, and quiet conditions are expected for the next following days.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 014, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 012 |
10cm solar flux | 082 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 002 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 008 - Based on 28 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Begin Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximum Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duration: 1 minutes. Peak flux: 190 sfu
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |