Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 November 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Nov 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 313 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
08/0115Z from Region 2781 (S23E03). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (09
Nov, 10 Nov, 11 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 493 km/s at 07/2336Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 08/1632Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
08/0510Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 980 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (09 Nov, 10 Nov, 11
Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Nov 090 Predicted 09 Nov-11 Nov 090/088/086 90 Day Mean 08 Nov 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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