Viewing archive of Friday, 13 November 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Nov 13 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 13 Nov 2020 until 15 Nov 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
13 Nov 2020083003
14 Nov 2020082004
15 Nov 2020080003

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. NOAA 2782 (Catania 52) and NOAA 2781 (Catania 50) were quiet and stable. Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels, with a small chance on an isolated C-class flare. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is expected to remain so. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so.

Solar wind speed undulated between 360 and 440 km/s (ACE and DSCOVR). Bz varied between -4 and +7 nT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was variable.

Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels, with Dourbes registering unsettled conditions during the 08-11UTC interval. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at quiet levels, with a small chance on an unsettled episode.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 023, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 12 Nov 2020

Wolf number Catania042
10cm solar flux085
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number029 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Vorkuta
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.18nT).
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.08

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