Viewing archive of Sunday, 7 February 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Feb 07 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 07 Feb 2021 until 09 Feb 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
07 Feb 2021073022
08 Feb 2021073021
09 Feb 2021074021

Bulletin

Solar activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours. There are no visible active regions. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained mostly below the 1000 pfu threshold during the past 24 hours. The electron flux could increase in the next period. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected to remain so in the next 24 h.

Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed ranged between 360 and 540 km/s. The total magnetic field strength fluctuated between 4 and 13 nT. Bz had a minimum value of -8 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field changed polarity from towards to away from the Sun (positive polarity). The Earth is inside a high speed solar wind stream, elevated solar wind speeds are expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions reached active leves locally with k Dourbes between 1-4, NOAA Kp recorded values between 2-5. Similar conditions expected for the next 24 hours..

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 06 Feb 2021

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux073
AK Chambon La Forêt026
AK Wingst///
Estimated Ap009
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 11 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK

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