Viewing archive of Tuesday, 9 February 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Feb 09 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Feb 2021 until 11 Feb 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Feb 2021073007
10 Feb 2021073006
11 Feb 2021073004

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. There were no numbered sunspots on the solar disc and no significant flares were detected in the last 24 hours. The flaring activity is expected to remain low in the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2MeV electron flux remained under the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so in the next 48 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 48 hours.

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind conditions (ACE and DSCOVR) were enhanced under the ongoing influence of a HSS related to a patchy positive polarity coronal hole. The total magnetic field varied between 2.4 nT an 7.5 nT, while the Bz component oscillated between -7.3 nT and 6.1 nT. The phi angle remained predominantly in the positive sector. The solar wind speed started around 400 km/s and sporadically increased to 518 km/s.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were predominantly quiet with an isolated 3-hour long period of globally and locally unsettled conditions. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Isolated active periods remain possible as the influence of the coronal hole HSS wanes.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 004, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Feb 2021

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt///
AK Wingst///
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number003 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK

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