Viewing archive of Thursday, 1 April 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Apr 01 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 01 Apr 2021 until 03 Apr 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
01 Apr 2021073012
02 Apr 2021073016
03 Apr 2021073012

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The visible solar disc is spotless and the X-ray flux is below B-level. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) was observed in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is at normal levels in the last 24 hours and is expected to stay at normal levels for the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were slightly enhanced due to the influence of the high-speed streams associated with small patchy equatorial coronal holes (in the south hemisphere, with negative polarity): The solar wind speed ranged between 335 km/s and 433 km/s . The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude reached 7.7 nT, and Bz components varied between -6.5 nT and 5.2 nT. The high-speed streams associated with the equatorial coronal hole (positive magnetic polarity and facing Earth on Mars 31) is expected to influence the solar wind conditions near Earth tomorrow, on April 2 and 3.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettle (Kp and K-Dourbes: 1-3) due to the slight enhancement of the solar wind conditions. Quiet to unsettled conditions is expected to persist followed by possible periods of active conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 31 Mar 2021

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt021
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 39 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Kuopio
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (512.9 km/sec.)

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