Viewing archive of Thursday, 17 June 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Jun 17 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 17 Jun 2021 until 19 Jun 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
17 Jun 2021076007
18 Jun 2021075005
19 Jun 2021075004

Bulletin

Solar activity remained at very low levels in the last 24 hours. NOAA AR2833 (Catania sunspot group 7) remained with simple unipolar magnetic filed configuration and is the only active region one the visible solar disc. The X-ray flare activity is expected to remain at very low levels for the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2MeV electron flux crossed the 1000 pfu threshold at 08:20 UTC this morning and is expected to remain above the threshold for an extended period of time. The 24h electron fluence increased from nominal to moderate level and is expected to remain at moderate levels for the next 24 hours.

Over the past 24h the solar wind (ACE and DSCOVR) remained under the influence of a high speed stream (HSS). The solar wind speed varied between 535 km/s and 633 km/s. The total magnetic field was at low values, in the range of 1.5 nT to 5.6 nT. The Bz component mildly fluctuated between -4.4 nT and 3.3 nT. The solar temperature remained elevated and the orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field remained predominantly in the negative sector.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to unsettled. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Isolated active periods remain possible until the effects of the HSS fade away.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 012, based on 25 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Jun 2021

Wolf number Catania011
10cm solar flux076
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst017
Estimated Ap018
Estimated international sunspot number011 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Kiruna, Luleå, Umeå
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C6.75

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