Viewing archive of Monday, 9 August 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Aug 09 1236 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Aug 2021 until 11 Aug 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Aug 2021074010
10 Aug 2021074013
11 Aug 2021074005

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours, a C1.3 class flare has taken place, originating from Catania region 29. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels, with a small change of C class flares over the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections have been observed in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, while the 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours. They are expected to likely remain so during the next 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind speed fluctuated between 330 and 390 km/s. The total magnetic field strength had values between 1 and 8 nT, while its Bz component varied between -6 and 5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly on the positive sector (directed away from the Sun), until Aug 9 08:00UT when it switched to the negative sector. Over the next 24 hours, solar wind conditions could possibly be slightly enhanced, due to the expected high speed stream associated with the negative polarity coronal hole crossing central meridian Aug 5.

Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA Kp 1-2 and K Dourbes 1-3) over the past 24 hours. Quiet to active conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 010, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Aug 2021

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.06nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.45nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-143nT)

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