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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jun 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 152 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jun 2022

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Jun, 03 Jun, 04 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 527 km/s at 01/0301Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6865 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Jun, 03 Jun, 04 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jun to 04 Jun
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Jun 104
  Predicted   02 Jun-04 Jun 105/105/105
  90 Day Mean        01 Jun 128

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 31 May  008/011
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Jun  006/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun  005/005-004/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jun to 04 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm20%20%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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