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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jun 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jun 2022

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 02/0621Z. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 416 km/s at 01/2121Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9247 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (03 Jun, 04 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (05 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jun to 05 Jun
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Jun 101
  Predicted   03 Jun-05 Jun 100/100/100
  90 Day Mean        02 Jun 128

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jun  008/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Jun  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun  004/005-006/005-011/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jun to 05 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%20%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%25%
Major-severe storm10%10%30%

All times in UTC

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