Viewing archive of Saturday, 4 June 2022

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2022 Jun 04 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 04 Jun 2022 until 06 Jun 2022
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
04 Jun 2022101007
05 Jun 2022100025
06 Jun 2022098007

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours, solar flaring activity has been very low, no C-class flares observed. There are four active regions visible on the disk, NOAA AR 3023 with alpha magnetic field configuration and NOAA ARs 3024 (evolved from alpha to beta), 3026 and 3027 are larger and slightly more complex (beta magnetic field configuration). C-class flares are possible in the next 24 hours.

No Earth directed CMEs were detected in the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2MeV electron has been slightly above the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It can be expected to decrease in the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is at moderate levels, and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind arriving to the Earth is slow, with speeds around 280 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 4 nT. The CME that erupted on 2 June is expected to arrive to the Earth early on 5 June, and create disturbed conditions.

Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (Kp=1, K_BEL=3). Over the next 24 hours, quiet conditions will be observed until the arrival of the ICME mentioned above, up to minor storm periods can be expected then.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 070, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 03 Jun 2022

Wolf number Catania079
10cm solar flux101
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number058 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Kuopio
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (531.1 km/sec.)

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