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Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jun 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 156 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jun 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
05/1225Z from Region 3029 (S17E48). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (06 Jun,
07 Jun, 08 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 300 km/s at 05/0117Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
05/1854Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
05/1704Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 5732 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (06 Jun) and quiet levels on
days two and three (07 Jun, 08 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jun to 08 Jun
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jun 099 Predicted 06 Jun-08 Jun 100/105/105 90 Day Mean 05 Jun 127
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jun 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jun 009/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun 009/010-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jun to 08 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 40% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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