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Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jul 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Jul,
03 Jul, 04 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 366 km/s at 01/1151Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
01/2030Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
01/2007Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 6971 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04
Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Jul 098 Predicted 02 Jul-04 Jul 100/102/108 90 Day Mean 01 Jul 126
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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