Viewing archive of Tuesday, 6 September 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Sep 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 249 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Sep 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 07 Sep to 09 Sep
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Sep 126 Predicted 07 Sep-09 Sep 125/122/120 90 Day Mean 06 Sep 122
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Sep 021/035 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Sep 016/020 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 010/012-008/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Sep to 09 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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