Viewing archive of Monday, 26 September 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Sep 26 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 269 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Sep 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 27 Sep to 29 Sep
| Class M | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Class X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Sep 135 Predicted 27 Sep-29 Sep 135/140/140 90 Day Mean 26 Sep 125
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Sep 005/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Sep 004/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Sep-29 Sep 008/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Sep to 29 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna, Luleå
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