Viewing archive of Wednesday, 11 January 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Jan 11 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 11 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jan 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jan to 14 Jan
| Class M | 65% | 65% | 60% |
| Class X | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Proton | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Jan 195 Predicted 12 Jan-14 Jan 196/196/198 90 Day Mean 11 Jan 137
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jan 006/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jan 008/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan 005/005-006/005-009/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jan to 14 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 20% | 35% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SKNuuk
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