Viewing archive of Monday, 4 December 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Dec 04 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Dec 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 05 Dec to 07 Dec
| Class M | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Dec 138 Predicted 05 Dec-07 Dec 135/130/130 90 Day Mean 04 Dec 151
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Dec 010/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Dec 014/017 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec 014/018-011/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Dec to 07 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MBCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Reykjavik
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