Viewing archive of Sunday, 10 December 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Dec 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 344 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Dec 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 11 Dec to 13 Dec
| Class M | 55% | 55% | 40% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Dec 127 Predicted 11 Dec-13 Dec 125/120/118 90 Day Mean 10 Dec 149
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Dec 002/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Dec 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Dec-13 Dec 011/012-011/012-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Dec to 13 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Calgary, ABLatest news
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