Viewing archive of Saturday, 6 January 2024
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Jan 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 6 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jan 2024IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 07 Jan to 09 Jan
| Class M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Jan 159 Predicted 07 Jan-09 Jan 160/165/165 90 Day Mean 06 Jan 148
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jan 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jan NA/ NA Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan 008/008-007/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jan to 09 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 30% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 40% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YTNuuk
Juneau, AK
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| Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
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| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
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