Viewing archive of Saturday, 20 January 2024

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2024 Jan 20 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
20 Jan 2024156007
21 Jan 2024156007
22 Jan 2024156007

Solar Active Regions and flaring

Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at low levels with several B-class flares and few C class flares. The solar flaring activity is likely to be at low levels over the coming days with C-class flares and a very low possibility of M-class flares.

Coronal mass ejections

Based on currently available coronagraph images several coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections have been identified in the last 24 hours.

Coronal holes

The small midlatitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere (with positive magnetic polarity) is now on the solar meridian. It’s a high-speed stream may impact the solar condition near Earth today and tomorrow.

Solar wind

Slow solar wind conditions were recorded over the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed as measured by DSCOVR ranged between 360 km/s and 500 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field was below 8 nT, and the Bz (north-south) component fluctuating between -7 nT and 5 nT. Slow solar wind conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Then, influences from the high speed stream coronal hole may be observed in the solar wind parameters.

Geomagnetism

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were mostly quiet with some unsettled periods (NOAA-Kp and K-Bel 1-3). Mostly quiet conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. Then, unsettled to active condition may occur in response to the influences from the high speed stream coronal hole.

Proton flux levels

The greater than 10 MeV protons flux where at background levels. It is expected to be at background levels in the next 24 hours.

Electron fluxes at geostationary orbit

The greater than 2 MeV GOES 16 electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal level and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 124, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 19 Jan 2024

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux157
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number140 - Based on 22 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

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