Viewing archive of Tuesday, 30 April 2024
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Apr 30 2235 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 120 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Apr 2024IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 01 May to 03 May
| Class M | 55% | 45% | 35% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Apr 130 Predicted 01 May-03 May 140/136/132 90 Day Mean 30 Apr 163
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Apr 007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Apr 007/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 01 May-03 May 014/018-016/020-015/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 May to 03 May
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 30% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NuukRovaniemi, Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Luleå, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Sundsvall
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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