Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 October 2024
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Oct 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 282 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Oct 2024IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 09 Oct to 11 Oct
| Class M | 75% | 75% | 70% |
| Class X | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Proton | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Oct 225 Predicted 09 Oct-11 Oct 260/260/250 90 Day Mean 08 Oct 223
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Oct 033/053 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Oct 033/057 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct 008/010-006/005-010/014
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Oct to 11 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 10% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 30% | 15% | 50% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YTNuuk
Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Winnipeg, MBLatest news
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
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Space weather facts
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| Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/04 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
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| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
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| Last 30 days | 130.9 -15.2 |