Viewing archive of Sunday, 17 November 1996
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 322 Issued at 2200Z on 17 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 18 NOV to 20 NOV
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 NOV 072 Predicted 18 NOV-20 NOV 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 17 NOV 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 NOV 005/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 NOV 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 NOV-20 NOV 015/020-020/025-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 NOV to 20 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, RovaniemiNorilsk, Vorkuta
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioArkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
Latest news
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
Latest forum messages
Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Latest alerts
13:03 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 13:56 UTC
Wednesday, 2 April 2025
04:03 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
01:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Tuesday, 1 April 2025
22:51 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M2.5 flare
22:30 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
| Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |