Viewing archive of Tuesday, 3 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 03 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 03 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 PRODUCED A
FINAL C-CLASS FLARE (A C1/1F AT 02/2353Z) BEFORE DEPARTING THE
VISIBLE SOLAR DISK. THE REMAINDER OF THE SUN WAS QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 04 DEC to 06 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 DEC 073 Predicted 04 DEC-06 DEC 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 03 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 DEC 009/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 DEC 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 DEC-06 DEC 010/005-010/005-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 DEC to 06 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Tórshavn
Reykjavik
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