Viewing archive of Saturday, 8 February 1997
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 039 Issued at 2200Z on 08 FEB 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 09 FEB to 11 FEB
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 FEB 075 Predicted 09 FEB-11 FEB 076/076/074 90 Day Mean 08 FEB 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 FEB 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 FEB 014/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 FEB-11 FEB 010/012-010/010-025/027
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 FEB to 11 FEB
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 25% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 30% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, UtsjokiKirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnKuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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