Viewing archive of Sunday, 16 March 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 16 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 075 Issued at 2200Z on 16 MAR 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. REGION 8021 (S33W54)
IS AN 'AXX' GROUP WITH ONE SPOT AND 8022 (S05W47) IS A 'BXO' GROUP
WITH FIVE SPOTS. REGION 8021 HAS HAD ONE SUBFAINT OPTICAL FLARE AND
ONE 'B-CLASS' XRAY FLARE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 17 MAR to 19 MAR
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 MAR 076 Predicted 17 MAR-19 MAR 075/074/074 90 Day Mean 16 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 MAR 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 MAR 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 MAR-19 MAR 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 MAR to 19 MAR
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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