Viewing archive of Tuesday, 22 April 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Apr 22 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 112 Issued at 2200Z on 22 APR 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. NEW REGION 8035 (N17E64), A SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' ALPHA GROUP WAS NUMBERED TODAY. AN 18 DEGREE DISAPPEARING FILAMENT WAS REPORTED OVERNIGHT FROM APPROXIMATE LOCATION N47E27.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO ACTIVE AT MIDDLE LATITUDES AND QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT HIGH LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. TODAY'S ACTIVE AND MINOR STORM CONDITIONS WERE CONFINED TO THE INTERVAL 22/0000-0600Z, MARKING THE END OF A DISTURBANCE THAT BEGAN YESTERDAY AT APPROXIMATELY 21/1200Z. WIND DATA SUGGEST THAT THIS DISTURBANCE WAS DUE TO A TRANSIENT IN THE SOLAR WIND. ACTIVITY FOLLOWING THE END OF THE DISTURBANCE DECREASED TO MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 23 APR to 25 APR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       22 APR 071
  Predicted   23 APR-25 APR  071/071/072
  90 Day Mean        22 APR 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 APR  015/016
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 APR  015/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 APR-25 APR  010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 APR to 25 APR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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