Viewing archive of Monday, 2 June 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 02 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 JUN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28E15) GREW
IN WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA, BUT WAS QUIET. REGION 8047 (N26W04)
DECLINED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
AT VERY LOW LEVELS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET, FOLLOWING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EARLY
IN THE PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GENERALLY
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED 04 JUNE, IN RESPONSE TO A DSF/CME
ON 31 MAY. QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS SHOULD END THE INTERVAL.
III. Event Probabilities 03 JUN to 05 JUN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 JUN 077 Predicted 03 JUN-05 JUN 077/078/078 90 Day Mean 02 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JUN 010/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JUN 003/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JUN-05 JUN 005/010-020/020-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 JUN to 05 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 40% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 50% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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