Viewing archive of Tuesday, 11 November 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Nov 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 NOV 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED LOW. REGION 8103 (N18W84) GENERATED FOUR ADDITIONAL C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS IN THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE LARGEST A C4/SF AT 11/0727. REGION 8106 (N27W44) WAS NUMBERED YESTERDAY, BUT WAS NOT OFFICIALLY CLASSIFIED UNTIL TODAY DUE TO POOR/INCONSISTENT SEEING AT THE ONSERVING STATIONS. REGION 8106 IS CURRENTLY A 5-SPOT 'CSO' BETA GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW. REGION 8103 COULD GENERATE ADDITIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS AS IT DEPARTS THE WEST LIMB. REGION 8106 HAS ALSO SHOWN THE POTENTIAL FOR C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS DURING THE INTERVAL 11/0300-0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 12 NOV to 14 NOV
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 NOV 092
  Predicted   12 NOV-14 NOV  088/086/086
  90 Day Mean        11 NOV 090
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 NOV  013/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 NOV  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 NOV-14 NOV  005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 NOV to 14 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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