Viewing archive of Monday, 15 June 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 166 Issued at 2200Z on 15 JUN 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 16 JUN to 18 JUN
| Class M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 JUN 100 Predicted 16 JUN-18 JUN 100/100/098 90 Day Mean 15 JUN 109
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 JUN 015/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 JUN 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 JUN-18 JUN 005/010-010/012-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 JUN to 18 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 35% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTAnchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTJuneau, AK
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