Viewing archive of Sunday, 12 July 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 193 Issued at 2200Z on 12 JUL 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 13 JUL to 15 JUL
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 JUL 099 Predicted 13 JUL-15 JUL 097/096/095 90 Day Mean 12 JUL 109
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 JUL 011/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 JUL 008/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 JUL-15 JUL 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 JUL to 15 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, RovaniemiNorilsk, Vorkuta
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioArkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
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