Viewing archive of Wednesday, 5 August 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 05 AUG 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 06 AUG to 08 AUG
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 AUG 127 Predicted 06 AUG-08 AUG 130/130/135 90 Day Mean 05 AUG 109
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 AUG 008/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 AUG-08 AUG 010/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 AUG to 08 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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