Viewing archive of Sunday, 1 November 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Nov 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 01 NOV 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE C1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED AT 01/0246Z. IT WAS NOT OPTICALLY CORRELATED HOWEVER IMAGE DATA FROM LASCO/EIT SUGGEST REGION 8375 (N17E32) MAY HAVE BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS EVENT.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. ENERGETIC ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 02 NOV to 04 NOV
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 NOV 121
  Predicted   02 NOV-04 NOV  125/125/130
  90 Day Mean        01 NOV 131
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 OCT  004/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 NOV  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 NOV-04 NOV  005/008-010/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 NOV to 04 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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