Viewing archive of Thursday, 8 July 1999
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1999 Jul 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 08 JUL 1999IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. C-CLASS ACTIVITY CONTINUES BUT
LESS FREQUENTLY THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE LARGEST FLARE WAS AN
OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C5 AT 08/0708UT. REGION 8611 (S26W84) APPEARS
TO BE LEAVING THE VISIBLE DISK QUIETLY. GROWTH IN REGION 8626
(S21W30) HAS SLOWED. NEW REGION 8627 (S12E70) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE IN DEPARTING REGION 8611 OR
REGION 8626.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 09 JUL to 11 JUL
| Class M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 JUL 149 Predicted 09 JUL-11 JUL 140/140/135 90 Day Mean 08 JUL 150
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL 008/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL 010/007-015/007-010/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 JUL to 11 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 02% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Monday, 11 November 2024
Coronal hole faces Earth
Friday, 1 November 2024
X2.0 solar flare
Wednesday, 9 October 2024
X1.8 solar flare, severe geomagnetic storm watch
Latest forum messages
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1637AR13883 2024/11/04 CME 45sun goes blank 72Space Weather Memes 566Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1209
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/11/06 | X2.39 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/11/13 | M1.7 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/11/10 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2024 | 166.4 +25 |
| November 2024 | 166 -0.4 |
| Last 30 days | 163.2 +18.4 |