Viewing archive of Saturday, 14 July 2001
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2001IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jul to 17 Jul
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jul 141 Predicted 15 Jul-17 Jul 140/140/145 90 Day Mean 14 Jul 151
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul 007/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul 010/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 008/011-012/013-012/013
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul to 17 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, UtsjokiReykjavik
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnKuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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