Viewing archive of Saturday, 4 January 2003

Geophysical report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary 2003 Jan 04 0245 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary

SGAS Number 004 Issued at 0245Z on 04 Jan 2003 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 03 Jan
A. Energetic Events
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
0147 0156 0159              B6.8     120
B. Proton Events
None
C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled. Isolated active to minor storm conditions were observed between 03/1500 to 1800 UTC due to the effects of a favorably positioned coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
D. Stratwarm
ALERT: STRATWARM VALID FOR UTC DAY: 2003 JAN 03 UPPER STRATOSPHERIC WARMING, CENTERED WITH PLUS 29C AT 2HPA OVER 65N/0E, CONTINUES, SLOWLY WEAKENING; TEMPERATURE GRADIENT BETWEEN 69N AND THE POLE STILL REVERSED BETWEEN 10 AND 1HPA.
E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values)
10 cm 138  SSN 108  Afr/Ap ???/013   X-ray Background B3.3
Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs)
GT 1 MeV 1.5e+06   GT 10 MeV 1.3e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-8 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees)
Daily Electron Fluence
GT 2 MeV 2.90e+07 e/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-8 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees)
3 Hour K-indices
Boulder 2 2 2 2 3 5 3 3 Planetary 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 4
F. Comments
  None

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 17:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C6.2

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18:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 17:46 UTC

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Moderate M1.36 flare

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Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.36)


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Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.18)


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