Viewing archive of Tuesday, 26 August 2003
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2003IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Aug 121 Predicted 27 Aug-29 Aug 120/125/125 90 Day Mean 26 Aug 127
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug 016/021 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Aug 015/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 015/015-012/012-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Fairbanks, AKCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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