Viewing archive of Saturday, 27 September 2003
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 270 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Sep 2003IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 28 Sep to 30 Sep
| Class M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Sep 130 Predicted 28 Sep-30 Sep 130/125/125 90 Day Mean 27 Sep 120
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Sep 011/017 Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Sep 012/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Sep-30 Sep 012/020-012/015-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Sep to 30 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 04% | 04% | 04% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
OuluNorilsk, Vorkuta
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioArkhangelsk
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar
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