Viewing archive of Wednesday, 10 March 2004
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 070 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Mar 2004IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 11 Mar to 13 Mar
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Mar 113 Predicted 11 Mar-13 Mar 115/115/110 90 Day Mean 10 Mar 112
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Mar 011/021 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Mar 025/045 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 020/030-018/020-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Mar to 13 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SKAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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