Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 November 2005

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Nov 10 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Nov 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. There are no spots visible today in Region 820 (S16W94) as it rotates around the west side of the solar disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active conditions are possible for 11 November due to coronal hole effects.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Nov to 13 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 Nov 078
  Predicted   11 Nov-13 Nov  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        10 Nov 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 09 Nov  001/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 10 Nov  005/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov  008/015-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Nov to 13 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%10%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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