Viewing archive of Sunday, 6 August 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Aug 06 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. The disk remains spotless. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active periods are possible on 08 August due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Aug to 09 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Aug 070
  Predicted   07 Aug-09 Aug  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        06 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Aug  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  008/010-010/012-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug to 09 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm05%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%25%20%
Minor storm10%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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