Viewing archive of Saturday, 5 August 2006
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Aug 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 06 Aug to 08 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Aug 070 Predicted 06 Aug-08 Aug 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 05 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Aug 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Aug 002/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug 005/008-008/010-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Aug to 08 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YTNuuk
Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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