Viewing archive of Friday, 23 November 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Nov 23 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 327 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Nov 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active with minor storm conditions at high latitudes. Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft indicate a continued influence of the coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds began the past 24 hour period at 620 km/s and are currently averaging around 550 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for 24-26 November.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Nov to 26 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Nov 070
  Predicted   24 Nov-26 Nov  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        23 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Nov  006/013
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Nov  010/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov  008/010-008/015-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Nov to 26 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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